On Replenishment Rules, Forecasting, and the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains

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On Replenishment Rules, Forecasting, and the Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chains

1. Modern supply chains Supply chains are networks of firms who pool their capabilities and resources in order to deliver value to the end consumer. Firms are no longer able to own or control complete supply chains. Information technology and modern logistics capabilities have created a global market where companies can take advantage of the opportunity to source internationally (IBM Business C...

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Quantifying the bullwhip effect in supply chains

Consider multiple companies operating as a serial supply chain. Within this environment, end users form the demand for the last company in the supply chain, but the demand for upstream companies is formed by the companies in the immediate downstream supply chain link. It has been shown that demand seasonality and forecast error can increase as we proceed up the supply chain. These demand distor...

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On the Bullwhip Effect Measure in Supply Chains with VAR (1) Demand Process

In this paper, a two-echelon supply chain, which includes two products based on the following considerations, has been studied and the bullwhip effect is quantified. Providing a measure for bullwhip effect that enables us to analyze and reduce this phenomenon in supply chains with two products is the basic purpose of this paper. Demand of products is presented by the first order vector autoregr...

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Demand forecasting and sharing strategies to reduce fluctuations and the bullwhip effect in supply chains

Supply chain inventories are prone to fluctuations and instability. Known as the bullwhip effect, small variations in the end item demand create oscillations that amplify throughout the chain. By using system dynamics simulation, we investigate some of the structural sources of the bullwhip effect, and explore the effectiveness of information sharing to eliminate the undesirable fluctuations. E...

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Foundations and Trends® in Technology, Information and Operations Management

سال: 2005

ISSN: 1571-9545,1571-9553

DOI: 10.1561/0200000010